Smart-money positioning · Q1 2026
What tracked superinvestors are buying and selling.
The stocks with the most aggregate BUY and SELL conviction across 30 tracked portfolio managers' latest 13F filings. Ranked by composite score across 6 signal layers.
This is a smart-money tracker. Backtest against forward returns shows no predictive signal — the score surfaces institutional consensus, not future alpha. Read the methodology →
Informational only — not investment advice. HoldLens tracks institutional positioning from public 13F filings. We are not a registered investment advisor and do not provide recommendations to buy or sell securities. Our 2026 backtest over 221 ticker-quarter pairs found the ConvictionScore has no predictive signal for forward returns (Pearson r = −0.12). The rankings describe what tracked superinvestors were accumulating or selling at the latest 13F snapshot — useful as market intelligence, not as personal investment advice. 13F data is reported with a 45-day SEC filing lag.
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Buy — top 10
All buy signals →1
GE
GE Aerospace
Industrials6Q ACCUM·9 buying · 1 selling · 1 total owner
+40
Net accumulation
Expected return
+18.3%/yr
Confidence ±
4.5%
5-year projection
2.3×
Buyer alpha avg
15.4%
Hohn19% CAGRHohn19% CAGRGreenblatt9% CAGR
2
FICO
Fair Isaac
Technology·10 buying · 3 selling · 2 total owners
+31
Slight accumulation
Expected return
+15.4%/yr
Confidence ±
3.2%
5-year projection
2.0×
Buyer alpha avg
15.8%
Akre14% CAGRAkre14% CAGRKantesaria19% CAGR
3
SCHW
Charles Schwab
Financials4Q ACCUM·16 buying · 7 selling · 2 total owners
+25
Slight accumulation
Expected return
+12.2%/yr
Confidence ±
1.7%
5-year projection
1.8×
Buyer alpha avg
11.6%
Armitage13% CAGRGreenberg13% CAGRHalvorsen10% CAGR
4
BABA
Alibaba
Technology6Q ACCUM·20 buying · 17 selling · 4 total owners
+25
Slight accumulation
Expected return
+11.6%/yr
Confidence ±
2.9%
5-year projection
1.7×
Buyer alpha avg
14.4%
Tepper16% CAGRTepper16% CAGRNygren11% CAGR
5
COHR
Coherent
Technology4Q ACCUM·6 buying · 7 selling · 1 total owner
+23
Slight accumulation
Expected return
+16.7%/yr
Confidence ±
3%
5-year projection
2.2×
Buyer alpha avg
17.0%
Druckenmiller17% CAGRDruckenmiller17% CAGRDruckenmiller17% CAGR
6
MU
Micron Technology
Technology2Q ACCUM·13 buying · 8 selling · 2 total owners
+22
Slight accumulation
Expected return
+15%/yr
Confidence ±
3.6%
5-year projection
2.0×
Buyer alpha avg
15.9%
Druckenmiller17% CAGRTepper16% CAGRPabrai15% CAGR
7
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
Energy7Q ACCUM·14 buying · 4 selling · 3 total owners
+22
Slight accumulation
Expected return
+14.3%/yr
Confidence ±
2.9%
5-year projection
1.9×
Buyer alpha avg
15.9%
Watsa18% CAGRBuffett12% CAGRWatsa18% CAGR
8
KHC
Kraft Heinz
Consumer Staples·4 buying · 3 selling · 1 total owner
+18
Slight accumulation
Expected return
+17.5%/yr
Confidence ±
3.9%
5-year projection
2.2×
Buyer alpha avg
15.0%
Watsa18% CAGRGreenblatt9% CAGRWatsa18% CAGR
9
HEI
HEICO Corp
Industrials·8 buying · 2 selling · 1 total owner
+17
Slight accumulation
Expected return
+14.6%/yr
Confidence ±
3.2%
5-year projection
2.0×
Buyer alpha avg
12.2%
Kantesaria19% CAGRGreenblatt9% CAGRGreenblatt9% CAGR
10
MCO
Moody's Corp
Financials·11 buying · 18 selling · 7 total owners
+16
Slight accumulation
Expected return
+17.1%/yr
Confidence ±
4%
5-year projection
2.2×
Buyer alpha avg
16.1%
Hohn19% CAGRLu11% CAGRKantesaria19% CAGR
Sell — top 10
All sell signals →1
GOOGL
Alphabet
Technology·22 buying · 35 selling · 9 total owners
-26
Slight selling
Expected return
+11.9%/yr
Confidence ±
3.4%
5-year projection
1.8×
Buyer alpha avg
15.8%
Hohn19% CAGRBuffett12% CAGRDruckenmiller17% CAGR
2
UNH
UnitedHealth
Healthcare3Q ACCUM·16 buying · 35 selling · 2 total owners
-25
Slight selling
Expected return
+11.5%/yr
Confidence ±
2%
5-year projection
1.7×
Buyer alpha avg
10.6%
Halvorsen10% CAGRNygren11% CAGRBurry11% CAGR
3
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Technology6Q TRIM·12 buying · 26 selling · 3 total owners
-20
Slight selling
Expected return
+11.6%/yr
Confidence ±
2.7%
5-year projection
1.7×
Buyer alpha avg
11.0%
Halvorsen10% CAGRGreenblatt9% CAGRCapital14% CAGR
4
KO
Coca-Cola
Consumer Staples·3 buying · 8 selling · 1 total owner
-17
Slight selling
Expected return
+11.4%/yr
Confidence ±
2.2%
5-year projection
1.7×
Buyer alpha avg
11.4%
Capital14% CAGRNygren11% CAGRGreenblatt9% CAGR
5
HLT
Hilton Worldwide
Consumer Discretionary·7 buying · 12 selling · 1 total owner
-17
Slight selling
Expected return
+8.9%/yr
Confidence ±
0.2%
5-year projection
1.5×
Buyer alpha avg
8.7%
Mandel9% CAGRMandel9% CAGRGreenblatt9% CAGR
6
COF
Capital One Financial
Financials·21 buying · 19 selling · 1 total owner
-17
Slight selling
Expected return
+9.6%/yr
Confidence ±
3.4%
5-year projection
1.6×
Buyer alpha avg
12.3%
Druckenmiller17% CAGRNygren11% CAGRGreenblatt9% CAGR
7
V
Visa
Financials2Q ACCUM·19 buying · 25 selling · 10 total owners
-14
Slight selling
Expected return
+15.2%/yr
Confidence ±
4%
5-year projection
2.0×
Buyer alpha avg
12.2%
Hohn19% CAGRKlarman5% CAGRGreenberg13% CAGR
8
KKR
KKR & Co
Financials2Q ACCUM·11 buying · 19 selling · 1 total owner
-12
Slight selling
Expected return
+9.2%/yr
Confidence ±
0.8%
5-year projection
1.6×
Buyer alpha avg
10.5%
Nygren11% CAGRHalvorsen10% CAGRNygren11% CAGR
9
TSLA
Tesla
Consumer Discretionary·17 buying · 9 selling · 1 total owner
-12
Slight selling
Expected return
+9.2%/yr
Confidence ±
3.1%
5-year projection
1.6×
Buyer alpha avg
11.2%
Halvorsen10% CAGRHalvorsen10% CAGRCapital14% CAGR
10
FND
FND
·5 buying · 12 selling
-11
Slight selling
Expected return
+9.5%/yr
Confidence ±
3.4%
5-year projection
1.6×
Buyer alpha avg
8.2%
Buffett12% CAGRGreenblatt9% CAGRAinslie4% CAGR
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Remove with Pro →The model
Six signal layers, one number
ConvictionScore v3 combines smart-money consensus, insider activity, manager track-record-weighted expected return, multi-quarter trend streaks, position concentration, anti-crowding bonus (under-the-radar discovery), and dissent penalty. Time-decayed across 4 quarters of 13F data. Expected ROI projects forward using the buyers' realized 10-year CAGRs.
- • Smart money — manager quality × consensus, time-decayed
- • Insider boost — CEO/CFO open-market buys (the strongest single equity signal)
- • Track record — buyer 10y CAGR × position size
- • Trend streak — multi-quarter compounding
- • Concentration — 15% positions weighted heavier than 1%
- • Contrarian bonus — under-the-radar gems (anti-crowding)
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Expected ROI is the model's projection, not a guarantee. Not investment advice. Methodology.