The opposite of a crowded trade.
14 tickers where a top-tier superinvestor (quality ≥ 8) has taken a high-conviction position — ConvictionScore ≥ +15 — but only 1–3 managers own the name.
By definition, hidden gems have zero crowding penalty in the smart-money model. The signal is pure. If one of these compounds, the crowd will catch up — and by then the first-mover has already been paid.
Where the best managers are early
Every gem, sorted by conviction
| # | Ticker | Conviction | Owners |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GE GE Aerospace | +41 | 1 |
| 2 | OXY Occidental Petroleum | +33 | 3 |
| 3 | SCHW Charles Schwab | +29 | 2 |
| 4 | FICO Fair Isaac | +28 | 2 |
| 5 | COHR Coherent | +26 | 1 |
| 6 | HEI HEICO Corp | +25 | 1 |
| 7 | BN Brookfield Corp | +23 | 1 |
| 8 | VST Vistra Corp | +22 | 2 |
| 9 | GRBK Green Brick Partners | +22 | 2 |
| 10 | TRMD Torm plc | +21 | 1 |
| 11 | CB Chubb | +19 | 1 |
| 12 | MSCI MSCI Inc | +19 | 1 |
| 13 | UBER Uber | +19 | 1 |
| 14 | TSM Taiwan Semi | +16 | 2 |
Top-6 thesis in one line
Top TCI position. Aerospace/defense demand + capital discipline.
Building toward a potential majority stake.
Discount broker franchise.
Credit scoring monopoly.
Optical networking for hyperscalers.
Aerospace aftermarket monopoly.
Three strict filters
- 1. Conviction ≥ +15. The unified ConvictionScore must be solidly positive, not a marginal buy.
- 2. Owner count 1–3. Only stocks held by three or fewer tracked superinvestors qualify. Four or more owners means the idea is already crowding into consensus territory — see /consensus.
- 3. At least one top-tier owner. At least one holder must have a manager-quality score of 8 or higher (Buffett, Klarman, Druckenmiller, Marks, Akre, Ackman, Ubben, Halvorsen, Mandel, Smith, Greenblatt, Hohn, Li Lu, etc.). Quality < 8 gets filtered out.
This is the cleanest possible read on “where is smart money early?” — a signal that is mathematically uncrowded, structurally high-conviction, and sourced from managers with track records.
Not investment advice. 13F filings are delayed 45 days and report long-only positions. Methodology.