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Signal dossier · Q1 2026

V logoV

Visa · Financials

Informational only — not investment advice. HoldLens tracks institutional positioning from public 13F filings. We are not a registered investment advisor and do not provide recommendations to buy or sell securities. Our 2026 backtest over 221 ticker-quarter pairs found the ConvictionScore has no predictive signal for forward returns (Pearson r = −0.12). The rankings describe what tracked superinvestors were accumulating or selling at the latest 13F snapshot — useful as market intelligence, not as personal investment advice. 13F data is reported with a 45-day SEC filing lag.
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ConvictionScore · single −100..+100 scale
Net selling
−14
2Q ACCUM
on a signed −100 sell scale · Slight selling
7 tracked managers selling. MODERATE selling pattern.
Unified ConvictionScore · −100..+100
Smart money + insider + track record + trend + concentration + contrarian − dissent − crowding
−14
Buy component
+33
Dissent penalty
−43
Unanimity bonus
+5
Quality differential
-7
Info density
+18
Buyers / Sellers
5 / 7
ConvictionScore v5 · 9-layer breakdown
13F superinvestor moves + Form 4 insider trades + 8-K material events. The SEC Signals trilogy.
−14
Smart money (13F)
+18
Insider activity (Form 4)
-4
Track record (CAGR)
+4
Trend streak
+5
Concentration
+10
Contrarian bonus
+0
Event signal (8-K)
+0
− Dissent penalty
−43
− Crowding penalty
−3
Owners: 10·Buyers: 19·Sellers: 25·Buyer-CAGR-weighted expected return: +15.2% ±4%·How this is computed
Why this score?
See the 9 factors that produced −14 for V

HoldLens's ConvictionScore is the sum of 9 factors clamped to −100/+100. Each factor has a known min/max range; the math is deterministic and reproducible. Every input traces to a public SEC filing. Full methodology →

FactorContribution
Smart money+18
Insider activity-4
Track record+4
Trend streak+5
Concentration+10
Contrarian bonus0
8-K events0
Dissent+43
Crowding+3
Sum (clamped −100/+100)−14

How to read: emerald = positive contribution to the buy signal; rose = penalty (sellers, crowded ownership, bearish 8-K events). Hover any factor name in the methodology page for the exact formula. Every number is computed at build time from EDGAR filings — no proprietary opinion layer, no editorial scoring. For V specifically: 19 buyers vs 25 sellers among the 30 tracked managers.

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8-quarter activity

Distinct managers buying or selling V each quarter — last 2 years.

5 buy moves·0 sell moves·net buying
'24 Q1
1
'24 Q2
'24 Q3
'24 Q4
'25 Q1
'25 Q2
2
'25 Q3
2
'25 Q4
'26 Q1
Buyers (new + add)Sellers (trim + exit)

Ownership breadth · 8 quarters

Breadth flat
+1 owners over 8Q
9
9
10
10
11
11
11
11
10
Q1 '24
Q2 '24
Q3 '24
Q4 '24
Q1 '25
Q2 '25
Q3 '25
Q4 '25
Q1 '26

The number of superinvestors holding this name has been stable for 8 quarters. See the most-owned names across all tracked managers →

Multi-quarter conviction

Managers who have been moving the same direction on V for 2+ consecutive quarters. Streaks matter far more than single-quarter moves — they reveal thesis conviction, not reactive trading.

Consecutive-quarter BUYERS

Smart money activity

Every tracked 13F move on V — grouped by quarter, ranked by manager quality.

Smart money activity
19 buys · 25 sells across tracked 13F filings
Net signal: Heavy selling
Q4 2025(8 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
François RochonTier 1
Giverny Capital
9.80%
Stephen MandelTier 1
Lone Pine Capital
0.00%
Andreas HalvorsenElite
Viking Global Investors
3.70%
Glenn Greenberg
Brave Warrior Advisors
10.20%
Chuck AkreTier 1
Akre Capital Management
10.30%
Terry SmithTier 1
Fundsmith
7.20%
Joel GreenblattElite
Gotham Asset Management
0.20%
Polen CapitalElite
Polen Capital Management
5.10%
Q3 2025(7 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Dev KantesariaTier 1
Valley Forge Capital
12.80%
Chris HohnTier 1
TCI Fund Management
20.30%
Andreas HalvorsenElite
Viking Global Investors
2.60%
Glenn Greenberg
Brave Warrior Advisors
9.40%
Chuck AkreTier 1
Akre Capital Management
10.10%
Joel GreenblattElite
Gotham Asset Management
0.20%
Polen CapitalElite
Polen Capital Management
4.80%
Q2 2025(5 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Chris HohnTier 1
TCI Fund Management
15.10%
Terry SmithTier 1
Fundsmith
5.90%
Andreas HalvorsenElite
Viking Global Investors
1.70%
Polen CapitalElite
Polen Capital Management
6.10%
Bill Nygren
Oakmark Funds
0.40%
Q1 2025(6 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Joel GreenblattElite
Gotham Asset Management
0.40%
Glenn Greenberg
Brave Warrior Advisors
0.00%
David RolfeTier 1
Wedgewood Partners
6.70%
Terry SmithTier 1
Fundsmith
6.60%
Andreas HalvorsenElite
Viking Global Investors
2.40%
Polen CapitalElite
Polen Capital Management
6.60%
Q4 2024(2 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Terry SmithTier 1
Fundsmith
6.20%
Polen CapitalElite
Polen Capital Management
5.60%
Q3 2024(3 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Andreas HalvorsenElite
Viking Global Investors
3.50%
Joel GreenblattElite
Gotham Asset Management
0.40%
Polen CapitalElite
Polen Capital Management
5.20%
Q2 2024(1 move)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Chuck AkreTier 1
Akre Capital Management
14.00%

Insider activity

What the company's own executives and directors are doing — buys are highly bullish.

Insider activity (Form 4)
0 buys · 3 sells from corporate insiders
Net: INSIDER SELLING
InsiderValue
Suh Chris
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
$3.46M
Suh Chris
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
$3.46M
Ryan McInerney
CEO
$3.54M

Latest news

Recent headlines for V — context for the moves above.

Who’s betting biggest on V

Financials sector →

Each bar is one manager’s position size in V as a % of their portfolio. Longer bar = bigger conviction bet. T1 badge marks the highest-quality track records.

Chuck Akre fund logoChuck AkreT1
14.2%
“The other payment network compounder.”
Dev Kantesaria fund logoDev KantesariaT1
12.8%
“Payment network toll booth.”
Chris Hohn fund logoChris HohnT1
11.8%
“Payment network toll booth.”
François Rochon fund logoFrançois RochonT1
9.8%
“Payment network compounder.”
Glenn Greenberg fund logoGlenn Greenberg
9.4%
“Payment network toll booth.”
David Rolfe fund logoDavid RolfeT1
8.4%
“Payment network compounder.”
Polen Capital fund logoPolen Capital
7.8%
“Payment network toll booth.”
William von Mueffling fund logoWilliam von Mueffling
6.1%
“Payment network.”
Andreas Halvorsen fund logoAndreas Halvorsen
5.8%
“Payment network compounder — decade-long hold.”
Terry Smith fund logoTerry SmithT1
5.4%
“Payment network.”

AI thesis

An AI-synthesised investment thesis for V, based on the 13F data above. Generated on demand — not stored or pre-computed.

AI thesis
Claude Haiku synthesis of net selling positioning from 10 institutional filers
Powered by Claude Haiku

Generate a 2-paragraph investment thesis synthesising 10 institutional holdings and the -14 conviction score.

Related smart-money signals

Derived from the same 13F filings
Same sector · Financials
Top conviction in this sector
  1. 1.SCHWCharles Schwab
    +25
  2. 2.MCOMoody's Corp
    +16
  3. 3.CBChubb
    +16
  4. 4.BNBrookfield Corp
    +12
  5. 5.MSCIMSCI Inc
    +12
All Financials names →
Same owners hold these
Tickers owned by ≥2 of V's holders
  1. 1.MCOMoody's Corp
    6 shared owners
    +16
  2. 2.METAMeta Platforms
    6 shared owners
    +3
  3. 3.MAMastercard
    6 shared owners
    0
  4. 4.MSFTMicrosoft
    5 shared owners
    -8
  5. 5.GOOGLAlphabet
    3 shared owners
    -26
Full overlap matrix →
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The HoldLens signal dossier shows the unified −100..+100 ConvictionScore alongside live prices, multi-quarter trend detection, insider activity, and real-time news. Not investment advice. Methodology.

Sister property: SecFilingDex — the encyclopedic reference for every SEC form variant (13F-HR / 13F-NT / 13F-HR/A) and the regulatory citation behind the data on this page.