Why this score?See the 9 factors that produced −8 for AMZN
HoldLens's ConvictionScore is the sum of 9 factors clamped to −100/+100. Each factor has a known min/max range; the math is deterministic and reproducible. Every input traces to a public SEC filing. Full methodology →
| Factor | Contribution |
|---|---|
| Smart money | +24 |
| Insider activity | 0 |
| Track record | -4 |
| Trend streak | +5 |
| Concentration | +9 |
| Contrarian bonus | 0 |
| 8-K events | 0 |
| Dissent | +41 |
| Crowding | 0 |
| Sum (clamped −100/+100) | −8 |
How to read: emerald = positive contribution to the buy signal; rose = penalty (sellers, crowded ownership, bearish 8-K events). Hover any factor name in the methodology page for the exact formula. Every number is computed at build time from EDGAR filings — no proprietary opinion layer, no editorial scoring. For AMZN specifically: 28 buyers vs 39 sellers among the 30 tracked managers.
8-quarter activity
Distinct managers buying or selling AMZN each quarter — last 2 years.
Ownership breadth · 8 quarters
Breadth fallingFewer superinvestors hold this name than 8 quarters ago — rotation out. See the most-owned names across all tracked managers →
Multi-quarter conviction
Managers who have been moving the same direction on AMZN for 2+ consecutive quarters. Streaks matter far more than single-quarter moves — they reveal thesis conviction, not reactive trading.
Smart money activity
Every tracked 13F move on AMZN — grouped by quarter, ranked by manager quality.
| Portfolio manager | % portfolio |
|---|---|
David RolfeTier 1 Wedgewood Partners | 2.60% |
Seth KlarmanTier 1 Baupost Group | 9.30% |
Stanley DruckenmillerTier 1 Duquesne Family Office | 4.30% |
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors | 1.90% |
Bill AckmanElite Pershing Square Capital | 14.30% |
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management | 1.10% |
Warren BuffettTier 1 Berkshire Hathaway | 0.20% |
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management | 7.30% |
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital | 4.10% |
Chase ColemanElite Tiger Global Management | 7.80% |
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital | 6.90% |
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management | 8.50% |
Tom SlaterElite Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth) | 5.70% |
| Portfolio manager | % portfolio |
|---|---|
Stanley DruckenmillerTier 1 Duquesne Family Office | 2.40% |
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management | 1.00% |
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management | 7.40% |
François RochonTier 1 Giverny Capital | 0.00% |
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital | 4.50% |
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors | 0.00% |
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management | 8.00% |
Oakmark Funds | 1.50% |
| Portfolio manager | % portfolio |
|---|---|
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital | 6.50% |
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management | 9.20% |
François RochonTier 1 Giverny Capital | 0.00% |
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors | 2.50% |
Bill AckmanElite Pershing Square Capital | 9.30% |
Chase ColemanElite Tiger Global Management | 6.90% |
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital | 7.80% |
Oakmark Funds | 1.70% |
Stanley DruckenmillerTier 1 Duquesne Family Office | 0.00% |
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management | 1.00% |
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management | 9.40% |
| Portfolio manager | % portfolio |
|---|---|
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital | 7.20% |
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management | 1.10% |
Stanley DruckenmillerTier 1 Duquesne Family Office | 0.90% |
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital | 6.80% |
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management | 10.60% |
Oakmark Funds | 0.70% |
| Portfolio manager | % portfolio |
|---|---|
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital | 6.70% |
Stanley DruckenmillerTier 1 Duquesne Family Office | 1.90% |
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management | 1.50% |
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management | 8.80% |
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors | 1.90% |
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital | 10.20% |
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management | 11.60% |
Tom SlaterElite Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth) | 6.10% |
Oakmark Funds | 0.90% |
| Portfolio manager | % portfolio |
|---|---|
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital | 7.60% |
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management | 8.90% |
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors | 2.80% |
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital | 9.30% |
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management | 12.40% |
Oakmark Funds | 0.90% |
Brave Warrior Advisors | 0.00% |
| Portfolio manager | % portfolio |
|---|---|
Scion Asset Management | 0.00% |
Insider activity
What the company's own executives and directors are doing — buys are highly bullish.
Latest news
Recent headlines for AMZN — context for the moves above.
Who’s betting biggest on AMZN
Each bar is one manager’s position size in AMZN as a % of their portfolio. Longer bar = bigger conviction bet. T1 badge marks the highest-quality track records.
AI thesis
An AI-synthesised investment thesis for AMZN, based on the 13F data above. Generated on demand — not stored or pre-computed.
Generate a 2-paragraph investment thesis synthesising 3 institutional holdings and the -8 conviction score.
Related smart-money signals
The HoldLens signal dossier shows the unified −100..+100 ConvictionScore alongside live prices, multi-quarter trend detection, insider activity, and real-time news. Not investment advice. Methodology.
Sister property: SecFilingDex — the encyclopedic reference for every SEC form variant (13F-HR / 13F-NT / 13F-HR/A) and the regulatory citation behind the data on this page.