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Signal dossier · Q4 2025

NVDA

NVIDIA · Technology

HoldLens verdict · single −100..+100 scale
BUY
Score: +20 / +100
WEAK BUY
3 tracked managers buying with 2 on a 6+ quarter streak. MODERATE signal.
Unified ConvictionScore · −100..+100
Smart money + insider + track record + trend + concentration + contrarian − dissent − crowding
+20
Buy component
+30
Dissent penalty
−9
Unanimity bonus
+10
Quality differential
+1
Info density
+12
Buyers / Sellers
3 / 2
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Multi-quarter conviction

Managers who have been moving the same direction on NVDA for 2+ consecutive quarters. Streaks matter far more than single-quarter moves — they reveal thesis conviction, not reactive trading.

Smart money activity

Every tracked 13F move on NVDA — grouped by quarter, ranked by manager quality.

Smart money activity
16 buys · 4 sells across tracked 13F filings
Net signal: STRONG BUY
Q4 2025(5 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Appaloosa Management
10.20%
Viking Global Investors
6.20%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
9.40%
Duquesne Family Office
8.60%
Tiger Global Management
7.10%
Q3 2025(4 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Appaloosa Management
8.40%
Tiger Global Management
7.90%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
7.80%
Duquesne Family Office
11.40%
Q2 2025(1 move)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Duquesne Family Office
13.80%
Q1 2025(1 move)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Duquesne Family Office
15.60%
Q4 2024(3 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Duquesne Family Office
14.60%
Appaloosa Management
8.60%
Tiger Global Management
6.70%
Q3 2024(2 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Duquesne Family Office
13.50%
Appaloosa Management
7.00%
Q2 2024(2 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Duquesne Family Office
12.50%
Appaloosa Management
5.80%
Q1 2024(2 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Duquesne Family Office
11.00%
Appaloosa Management
5.00%

Insider activity

What the company's own executives and directors are doing — buys are highly bullish.

Insider activity (Form 4)
0 buys · 2 sells from corporate insiders
Net: INSIDER SELLING
InsiderValue
Jensen Huang
CEO & Founder
$33.12M
Mark Stevens
Director
$8.10M

Latest news

Recent headlines for NVDA — context for the moves above.

Current ownership

8 tracked superinvestors currently hold NVDA as a top position.

Manager% Portfolio
Stanley Druckenmiller
Top AI infrastructure pick. Sized aggressively.
11.4%
David Tepper
Top position — AI infrastructure.
10.2%
Tom Slater
AI infrastructure core.
9.4%
Chase Coleman
AI compute toll booth.
7.1%
John Armitage
AI compute leader.
6.4%
Andreas Halvorsen
AI compute leader.
6.2%
Stephen Mandel
AI infrastructure.
5.1%
Lee Ainslie
AI infrastructure.
3.1%
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HoldLens Signal combines multi-factor recommendation scoring with live prices, multi-quarter trend detection, and real-time news. Not investment advice. Methodology.