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Signal dossier · Q1 2026

JPM logoJPM

JPMorgan Chase · Financials

Informational only — not investment advice. HoldLens tracks institutional positioning from public 13F filings. We are not a registered investment advisor and do not provide recommendations to buy or sell securities. Our 2026 backtest over 221 ticker-quarter pairs found the ConvictionScore has no predictive signal for forward returns (Pearson r = −0.12). The rankings describe what tracked superinvestors were accumulating or selling at the latest 13F snapshot — useful as market intelligence, not as personal investment advice. 13F data is reported with a 45-day SEC filing lag.
ConvictionScore · single −100..+100 scale
Net selling
−5
on a signed −100 sell scale · Slight selling
0 tracked manager selling. MODERATE selling pattern.
Unified ConvictionScore · −100..+100
Smart money + insider + track record + trend + concentration + contrarian − dissent − crowding
−5
Buy component
+-3
Dissent penalty
−3
Unanimity bonus
0
Quality differential
+0
Info density
+4
Buyers / Sellers
2 / 0
ConvictionScore v5 · 9-layer breakdown
13F superinvestor moves + Form 4 insider trades + 8-K material events. The SEC Signals trilogy.
−5
Smart money (13F)
+4
Insider activity (Form 4)
-5
Track record (CAGR)
-5
Trend streak
+0
Concentration
+3
Contrarian bonus
+0
Event signal (8-K)
+0
− Dissent penalty
−3
− Crowding penalty
−0
Owners: 1·Buyers: 13·Sellers: 4·Buyer-CAGR-weighted expected return: +9.8% ±1.4%·How this is computed
Why this score?
See the 9 factors that produced −5 for JPM

HoldLens's ConvictionScore is the sum of 9 factors clamped to −100/+100. Each factor has a known min/max range; the math is deterministic and reproducible. Every input traces to a public SEC filing. Full methodology →

FactorContribution
Smart money+4
Insider activity-5
Track record-5
Trend streak0
Concentration+3
Contrarian bonus0
8-K events0
Dissent+3
Crowding0
Sum (clamped −100/+100)−5

How to read: emerald = positive contribution to the buy signal; rose = penalty (sellers, crowded ownership, bearish 8-K events). Hover any factor name in the methodology page for the exact formula. Every number is computed at build time from EDGAR filings — no proprietary opinion layer, no editorial scoring. For JPM specifically: 13 buyers vs 4 sellers among the 30 tracked managers.

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Ownership breadth · 8 quarters

Breadth flat
+0 owners over 8Q
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Q1 '24
Q2 '24
Q3 '24
Q4 '24
Q1 '25
Q2 '25
Q3 '25
Q4 '25
Q1 '26

The number of superinvestors holding this name has been stable for 8 quarters. See the most-owned names across all tracked managers →

Smart money activity

Every tracked 13F move on JPM — grouped by quarter, ranked by manager quality.

Smart money activity
13 buys · 4 sells across tracked 13F filings
Net signal: Heavy accumulation
Q4 2025(2 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Viking Global Investors
1.60%
Gotham Asset Management
0.20%
Q3 2025(2 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Viking Global Investors
4.10%
Gotham Asset Management
0.30%
Q2 2025(4 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Giverny Capital
0.50%
Viking Global Investors
3.40%
Oakmark Funds
0.00%
Gotham Asset Management
0.30%
Q1 2025(2 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Gotham Asset Management
0.40%
Viking Global Investors
1.70%
Q4 2024(2 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Viking Global Investors
5.80%
Gotham Asset Management
0.30%
Q3 2024(3 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Giverny Capital
0.30%
Viking Global Investors
2.80%
Gotham Asset Management
0.20%

Insider activity

What the company's own executives and directors are doing — buys are highly bullish.

Insider activity (Form 4)
2 buys · 10 sells from corporate insiders
Net: INSIDER SELLING
InsiderValue
Petno Douglas B
Co-CEO CIB
$1.70M
Lake Marianne
CEO CCB
$1.92M
Erdoes Mary E.
CEO Asset & Wealth Management
$1.98M
Lake Marianne
CEO CCB
$1.92M
Petno Douglas B
Co-CEO CIB
$1.70M
Beer Lori A
Chief Information Officer
$950K
Erdoes Mary E.
CEO Asset & Wealth Management
$1.98M
Beer Lori A
Chief Information Officer
$950K
Petno Douglas B
Co-CEO CIB
$0
Petno Douglas B
Co-CEO CIB
$0
Petno Douglas B
Co-CEO CIB
$0
Petno Douglas B
Co-CEO CIB
$0

Latest news

Recent headlines for JPM — context for the moves above.

Who’s betting biggest on JPM

Each bar is one manager’s position size in JPM as a % of their portfolio. Longer bar = bigger conviction bet. T1 badge marks the highest-quality track records.

Best-in-class bank franchise.

AI thesis

An AI-synthesised investment thesis for JPM, based on the 13F data above. Generated on demand — not stored or pre-computed.

AI thesis
Claude Haiku synthesis of net selling positioning from 1 institutional filers
Powered by Claude Haiku

Generate a 2-paragraph investment thesis synthesising 1 institutional holdings and the -5 conviction score.

Related smart-money signals

Derived from the same 13F filings
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The HoldLens signal dossier shows the unified −100..+100 ConvictionScore alongside live prices, multi-quarter trend detection, insider activity, and real-time news. Not investment advice. Methodology.

Sister property: SecFilingDex — the encyclopedic reference for every SEC form variant (13F-HR / 13F-NT / 13F-HR/A) and the regulatory citation behind the data on this page.