Which ETF replicates each superinvestor's portfolio?
For every tracked manager, we score 12 major US ETFs by portfolio-overlap with their disclosed top-10 holdings. The score weights each shared ticker by both the manager's position size and the ETF's holding weight — a ticker held heavily by both contributes much more than one held marginally by either. Click through to a manager for the full ranked list and per-ticker breakdown.
Closest ETF match per manager
| Manager | Closest ETF | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Li Lu | XLF | 338.4 |
| Warren Buffett | XLK | 331.5 |
| Stanley Druckenmiller | XLK | 284.3 |
| Chase Coleman | XLK | 248.5 |
| David Tepper | QQQ | 238.5 |
| John Armitage | XLK | 213.4 |
| Chuck Akre | XLF | 212.6 |
| Chris Hohn | QQQ | 189.6 |
| Stephen Mandel | XLK | 180.1 |
| Tom Slater | QQQ | 174.0 |
| Dev Kantesaria | XLF | 161.6 |
| Terry Smith | XLK | 159.0 |
| David Rolfe | XLF | 158.8 |
| Andreas Halvorsen | XLK | 152.5 |
| François Rochon | XLF | 140.0 |
| Polen Capital | XLK | 133.5 |
| Joel Greenblatt | XLK | 114.5 |
| William von Mueffling | XLK | 110.8 |
| Lee Ainslie | XLK | 96.1 |
| Glenn Greenberg | XLF | 67.7 |
| Prem Watsa | XLE | 39.1 |
| Jeffrey Ubben | QQQ | 37.3 |
| Bill Ackman | QQQ | 29.3 |
| Mohnish Pabrai | QQQ | 24.3 |
| Howard Marks | XLE | 23.3 |
| Bill Nygren | XLF | 21.1 |
| Carl Icahn | XLE | 13.9 |
| David Einhorn | none in top-10 | — |
| Seth Klarman | none in top-10 | — |
| Michael Burry | none in top-10 | — |
Why this is approximate
Managers disclose ~10-50 positions in 13F filings, and HoldLens tracks each manager's top-10. ETFs hold hundreds of positions; HoldLens tracks each ETF's top-10 disclosed weights. So this overlap-score reads tip-of-the-iceberg vs tip-of-the-iceberg — useful for the most-conviction positions, weak for tail exposure.
A high score means the manager's biggest names are also the ETF's biggest names. A low score means the manager has either (a) ran very different concentrated positions or (b) holds tickers outside the ETF's top-10. Either way, the score does not predict tracking error against the ETF; it measures top-10 holdings overlap as a quote-ready signal.
Related
Educational analysis based on disclosed top-10 holdings. Not a recommendation to buy any ETF or stock. Holdings change quarterly (managers) or daily (ETFs); scores reflect snapshots.